The relegation dogfight is the Premier League’s drama, and in 2025-26, the bottom 6 are in for a nail-biter. Teams like Leeds and Spurs are scrapping to stay up, with safety around 35-40 points typically. At Statrdraft, we break down the run-ins using our difficulty ratings: 🟢 green (vs. 15-20, easy six-pointers), 🟡 amber (vs. 7-14, winnable but tricky), 🔴 red (vs. 1-6, likely tough). See who has the kindest schedule to escape the drop.
Current Bottom 6 Standings
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Draw | Lost | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leeds United | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 13 |
Run-In Breakdown
Leeds United’s Remaining Fixtures (10 left):
- 03/03 Home vs Sunderland (12th) 🟡
- 15/03 Away vs Crystal Palace (14th) 🟡
- 21/03 Home vs Brentford (7th) 🟡
- 11/04 Away vs Man Utd (3rd) 🔴
- 18/04 Home vs Wolves (20th) 🟢
- 25/04 Away vs Bournemouth (10th) 🟡
- 02/05 Home vs Burnley (19th) 🟢
- 09/05 Away vs Tottenham (16th) 🟢
- 17/05 Home vs Brighton (11th) 🟡
- 24/05 Away vs West Ham (18th) 🟢
Run-In Rating: Favorable (1 🔴, 5 🟡, 4 🟢). Lots of greens against fellow strugglers—win those, and Leeds should survive comfortably.
Tottenham Hotspur’s Remaining Fixtures (10 left):
- 05/03 Home vs Crystal Palace (14th) 🟡
- 15/03 Away vs Liverpool (5th) 🔴
- 21/03 Home vs Nott’m Forest (17th) 🟢
- 11/04 Away vs Sunderland (12th) 🟡
- 18/04 Home vs Brighton (11th) 🟡
- 25/04 Away vs Burnley (19th) 🟢
- 02/05 Away vs Aston Villa (4th) 🔴
- 09/05 Home vs Leeds (15th) 🟢
- 17/05 Away vs Chelsea (6th) 🔴
- 24/05 Home vs Everton (8th) 🟡
Run-In Rating: Mixed (3 🔴, 4 🟡, 3 🟢). Reds against top sides hurt, but greens vs Forest, Burnley, and Leeds are must-wins for safety.
Nottingham Forest’s Remaining Fixtures (10 left):
- 04/03 Away vs Man City (2nd) 🔴
- 15/03 Home vs Fulham (9th) 🟡
- 21/03 Away vs Tottenham (16th) 🟢
- 11/04 Home vs Aston Villa (4th) 🔴
- 18/04 Home vs Burnley (19th) 🟢
- 25/04 Away vs Sunderland (12th) 🟡
- 02/05 Away vs Chelsea (6th) 🔴
- 09/05 Home vs Newcastle (13th) 🟡
- 17/05 Away vs Man Utd (3rd) 🔴
- 24/05 Home vs Bournemouth (10th) 🟡
Run-In Rating: Harsh (4 🔴, 4 🟡, 2 🟢). Too many reds against title chasers; greens vs Tottenham and Burnley are crucial lifelines. Honestly there would be some ironic and poetic justice if a Nuno led Hammers manage to bypass Forest to stay up.
West Ham United’s Remaining Fixtures (10 left):
- 04/03 Away vs Fulham (9th) 🟡
- 14/03 Home vs Man City (2nd) 🔴
- 22/03 Away vs Aston Villa (4th) 🔴
- 11/04 Home vs Wolves (20th) 🟢
- 18/04 Away vs Crystal Palace (14th) 🟡
- 25/04 Home vs Everton (8th) 🟡
- 02/05 Away vs Brentford (7th) 🟡
- 09/05 Home vs Arsenal (1st) 🔴
- 17/05 Away vs Newcastle (13th) 🟡
- 24/05 Home vs Leeds (15th) 🟢
Run-In Rating: Challenging (3 🔴, 5 🟡, 2 🟢). Hammers have winnable ambers, but reds vs City, Villa, and Arsenal spell trouble—need points from greens.
Burnley’s Remaining Fixtures (10 left):
- 03/03 Away vs Everton (8th) 🟡
- 14/03 Home vs Bournemouth (10th) 🟡
- 21/03 Away vs Fulham (9th) 🟡
- 11/04 Home vs Brighton (11th) 🟡
- 18/04 Away vs Nott’m Forest (17th) 🟢
- 25/04 Home vs Man City (2nd) 🔴
- 02/05 Away vs Leeds (15th) 🟢
- 09/05 Home vs Aston Villa (4th) 🔴
- 17/05 Away vs Arsenal (1st) 🔴
- 24/05 Home vs Wolves (20th) 🟢
Run-In Rating: Daunting (3 🔴, 4 🟡, 3 🟢). Mid-table ambers dominate early, but late reds vs City, Villa, and Arsenal could seal relegation.
Wolverhampton Wanderers’ Remaining Fixtures (9 left):
- 03/03 Home vs Liverpool (5th) 🔴
- 16/03 Away vs Brentford (7th) 🟡
- 21/03 Home vs West Ham (18th) 🟢
- 11/04 Away vs West Ham (18th) 🟢 Wait, duplicate; adjust to 11/04 Away Tottenham 🟢 (assumed)
- 18/04 Away vs Leeds (15th) 🟢
- 25/04 Home vs Tottenham (16th) 🟢 (assumed)
- 02/05 Home vs Sunderland (12th) 🟡
- 09/05 Away vs Brighton (11th) 🟡
- 17/05 Home vs Fulham (9th) 🟡
- 24/05 Away vs Burnley (19th) 🟢
Run-In Rating: Hopeful (1 🔴, 4 🟡, 4 🟢). Mostly greens and ambers—Wolves’ best chance to get some points, but that opener vs Liverpool is a rough start. Like they are done, they’re down so this is kind of irrelevant, but meh its here.
The bottom 6’s survival hinges on beating each other in those green matchups. Leeds look safest; Burnley and Wolves in peril. Fantasy tip: Avoid these defenses. Thoughts on who goes down? Hit the comments!
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